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Archives for March 2016

Continuity with change

March 31, 2016 by James J. Morrison W.G. Dupree Leave a Comment

Many have noted the re-emergence of the three-word slogan, as Malcolm Turnbull attempts to trigger a double dissolution that will rid him of these “damnable” cross benchers in the Senate.  Copying his predecessor’s style, Turnbull repeated this slogan four times within two minutes in a recent interview with Leigh Sales.

“Continuity with Change“!   Turnbull stated that as he had been a part of the Abbott Government, he was maintaining policy continuity. Even Abbott confirmed this when he said from London “It’s very easy for me to campaign for the election of the Turnbull Government because the Turnbull Government is running on the Abbott Government’s record, and it’s a very strong record.”. Malcolm although, has claimed he’s made changes that were allegedly uniquely his.

It would become apparent that others had come up with this slogan also.  Although, unfortunately for Malcolm, it was specifically chosen for its meaninglessness!  Simon Blackwell one of the writers for the comedy “Veep” wrote in a Tweet:

Could he have come up with a more meaningless slogan?
Could he have come up with a more meaningless slogan?

“In Season 4 of Veep we came up with the most meaningless election slogan we could think of. Now adopted by Australian PM.”

Malcolm is desperately distancing himself from the slogan now, but is it meaningless for him or does it betray a strategy for “change” that is uniquely his?

Aspects of Malcolm’s changes began to fit a familiar pattern which was expressed in his own words via last year’s science prize awards speech. Let’s examine the “changes” that Malcolm mentioned in the ABC as mentioned above interview, with a few he forgot, thrown in to illustrate the pattern.

  1. Senate voting reform
  2. Mass transit and public transport in cities
  3. Media ownership reform
  4. Domestic violence agenda
  5. CSIRO changes in funding & management
  6. Business continuity and changing corporate bankruptcy laws
  7. Clean energy innovation projects fund.
  8. The resurrection of the ABCC

I will deal with each only briefly.  You can look up the links provided for more detailed analysis.

  1. Senate Voting reform was an initiative of the Greens (rather than Malcolm or the Liberals) that began a decade ago with Bob Brown in 2004 introducing legislation to reform Senate voting. Idealistically to limit party control over preferences between parties for “Above the Line” (ATL) voters, the new system still harvests preferences through the order in which candidates are listed. Ungrouped Candidates don’t get a look in at all with ATL voting.  So independents will most certainly be disadvantaged. Yet it is the independents which have often held the major parties to account adequately for their policies to the people, rather than the normal a priori of factions, lobbyists and party ideology. People at the voting booth rarely have the time, inclination or education to understand all the issues. People’s political allegiances in most “democracies” are largely driven by irrational fears, family alliances, emotional opinions unrestrained by cognitive dissonance, and driven by self-interested media manipulation. When you consider that despite the protests about preferences, that each voter has complete control over them by simply voting “Below the Line” (BTL), and yet only 3% do, then what does that say about the average voter? Does not the problem with voting and preferences boil down to the propensity of Australians to be too lazy, too busy, too preoccupied, too disinterested, too ambivalent, too apathetic, too overwhelmed, too angry, too helpless, too pessimistic, too disempowered to make complex choices about voting. And that is what the Greens and the Liberal Government are counting on.
  1. Turnbull’s policies for mass transit/public transport in cities arrived with a new minister and new Cities and Built Environment portfolio.  He gave this portfolio to the infamous Jamie Briggs, a junior minister without a significant expenditure capacity and without significant regulatory powers and under the “environmentally responsible” influence of Greg Hunt and the administrative support of the Department of Environment. This Underpowered portfolio has its origins in the Rudd Gillard government’s series of reports on City infrastructure issues as Alan Davis listed out in an earlier Crikey article.  Perhaps that is from where Malcolm got his ideas?
  1. Malcolm Turnbull’s own words about Media ownership reform to Leigh Sales were that they were “…kicked into the long grass, never to be seen again, apparently; taken out. It is now the Government’s policy.“.  Historically, not even the “captain’s calling” Abbott had tried to deregulate the media laws despite his efforts to reduce what he referred to as “Red Tape“.  Instead the influences appear to originate from lobbyists from commercial media outlets that have worn bare, the red carpet trail to Canberra to argue  their case.  Does the public want a diminishment of media laws that results in fewer voices in rural media or local news and permit a concentration of media in singular hands (guess who’s) as mergers and acquisitions occur?
  1.  Funding for domestic violence prevention from Turnbull represented a fraction of the money originally stolen by Abbott (1/3rd), which he then re-invested in an odd assortment of extras not highly sought after by any woman’s support groups. Websites, GPS bracelets, alternative legal aid, police counselling, locks, CCTV & 20,000 mobile phones benefit IT professionals, security companies, police, and communication providers more than it does abused women. What women’s groups asked for was Shelters but wherever Malcolm got his ideas from it wasn’t from the afflicted women.
  1. CSIRO was another example of only a portion of the $110M Abbott cut being reallocated with completely unasked for commercial provisions. As with Domestic Violence where many of the legal services and shelters were gone by the time Malcolm gave some money back, several CSIRO projects complete with the experts that researched them were also gone. Abbott had installed a venture capitalist, Larry Marshall, as CSIRO chief executive who only a month ago astonished the scientific world by abandoning climate data gathering and modelling.  Turnbull’s refunding itself was tied to increased commercialisation of research.
Climate Science breaks away from CSIRO
Climate Science breaks away from CSIRO
  1.  Malcolm’s efforts for business continuity and changing corporate bankruptcy laws are based on the Productivity Commission’s report on insolvency law, where such things as “reducing personal bankruptcy to one year”, “introducing a safe harbour for directors during restructuring” and “nullifying ipso facto contract clauses” have captured Malcolm’s attention.  Malcolm has cherry picked these from the Productivity report – which in other circumstances he appears not to have read (see point 8). The collective of Australia’s less reputable fraudsters in Business are positively ecstatic at these protections for consumers dissolving. The question has to be for whom does the benefit of such changes serve, Business corporates or consumers?  Let the buyer/voter beware!
  1. Abbott’s aggressively ideological agenda to protect coal at the expense of the Clean Energy Finance Corporation (CEFC), by directing it to cease investment in wind farms and domestic-scale solar projects and the cutting of $435 million from the Australian Renewable Energy Agency’s budget (ARENA); has seen some change under Malcolm Turnbull. Originally Malcolm had refused to support the CEFC which had been turning a profit at 3 per cent over the bond rate. Then in a rapid change of mind, Malcolm announced a new “Clean Energy Innovation Fund” (CEIF) to be in a manner managed by both these organisations. The problems with the proposal are multiple.
  • The term “fund” is a misnomer because what it is, is a loan.
  • ARENA’s management is limited as it has been stripped of its powers
  • Requiring a return on investment will limit the scope of renewable innovation in Australia.

Malcolm’s “change” to turn grants into loans, was to placate the conservatives in the coalition who preferred to be dismantling the agencies. The remit for the CEIF is oddly very similar to what ARENA was already doing in the area of renewable energy, so it seems apparent Malcolm is just repackaging an existing concept in a more conservatively climate-denying placation of his backbench.

  1. On ABC national Radio on the 22nd March, the morning show with Michael Brissenden, Malcolm spoke of the Heydon royal commission’s findings as “compelling” and “recommended” support for the ABCC.  The Royal Commission’s 79 recommendations made no mention of the ABCC. In fact, upon reading the report, Hayden had recommended continuity of the pre existing regulator with beefing up investigatory and compulsory powers.

Turnbull in his interview with Leigh Sales said “The Howard Government set up the Australian Building and Construction Commission to have a strong industry watchdog which reduced disputes. It improved productivity by 20 per cent. The Labor Party in government, Mr Shorten in fact as the minister, abolished the ABCC …”  Leigh Sales replied , “… a report by the Productivity Commission in 2014 found that the introduction of the ABCC didn’t improve construction productivity overall and nor did the removal of it have a negative effect. Overall its impact was fairly marginal.”  When Malcolm Turnbull disputed this she held up the report in her hand and said she had it with her. The claim of 20% improvement along with the suggestion it was bringing $6 Billion to the economy  was based on a discredited report by Econtech which even the ABCC removed from their website. The bad safety record of the ABCC alone should be reason enough to be concerned it is an inappropriate solution.

Safe work Data show more workers died under ABCC
Safe work Data show more workers died under ABCC

So why resurrect a commission that in truth had such a minimal impact on productivity and a downfall on safety? Malcolm had certainly read the Productivity Commission’s report to have implement it’s recommendations on insolvency law (as mentioned earlier) but apparently only cherry picked from it?  Econtech was discredited a long time ago, so why try to sell it as something is wasn’t?  As Michael Brissenden pointed out to Malcolm, “ABS figures from December last year show overall industrial disputes diminishing and days lost due to industrial disputes down considerably from 2012”? Instead of supplying evidence against either ABS or the Productivity report Malcolm resorted to anecdotal opinions based loosely on the maligned Royal Commission saying it found there was a “culture of lawlessness in the construction sector”. Despite the Commission’s Aug 2015 findings that referred 30 people for various charges, already 5 of these have had their charges dismissed.

Let’s face it if Malcolm were honestly concerned about corruption, then why resist the numerous calls to have a federal ICAC instigated in the face of the NSW illegal donations discoveries? Is the pot calling the kettle, “black”? So why try to resurrect a Howard initiative for a lack lustre body like the ABCC with a dubious success record, for a single industry, that already has regulators in place and have that as a trigger for a Double Dissolution?

  1. This in more of a late mention or side note as this change isn’t in yet, but after Abbott made $57 billion in health cuts, apparently Mr Turnbull wants to return $5 billion and thinks that is a solution of merit to take to the next budget. Anyone yet figured out one of the patterns in his approach?

All these “changes to continuity” have a common thread or theme emerging from them that is a measure of what Malcolm sees as “changes” from Abbott’s policies. Best exemplified in the transcript of a speech by the Prime Minister to the science prize awards dinner in Canberra last year, “If somebody else has done something that is even better than what we have thought of, then we will, recognising that plagiarism is the sincerest form of flattery; we will pinch it and use it.”

In his own words, this soft “plagiarism“, dominates the changes he has wrought. There is a typical pattern of evidence of previous governments, reports and communities that have held pre-existing ideas which appear to have been mostly regurgitated, modified, re-costed with cheaper alternatives, to be released as his re-badged “changed from continuity” policy.  Not withstanding the couple of additions I’ve included, Malcolm was happy to call them his changes to Leigh Sales. Despite his penchant for spending millions promoting his innovative “ideas boom” ($28 million to date) there is nothing revolutionary, innovative or creative being generated in these “changed” policies.

Now to be honest, is there anything that says a policy has to be innovative? No! It is also fair to say that many of these are at least a partial recovery from the ideological destructiveness of the Abbott Government (ABCC not included). It is also fair to say that none of these organizations or causes have a hope of recovering to the point they had progressed to, before the Abbott Government under any of these “changes to continuity”. Most of them will, in fact, be easy targets for abuse and/or mismanagement.

For Malcolm, these are low-risk manoeuvres that fly under the radar of his neo-conservative right-wing backbench, that – where they will fail – he can pass them back to the originator of their idea, but where they succeed (if any of these possibilities can) for which he can claim credit.  Win-Win for him, perhaps not for us.

So as many, including Tony Abbott, are saying the Coalition’s policies represent a continuation of the Abbott government, Malcolm was pitching for “Continuity with changes”!  Re-branded, reworked, low cost, low impact, policy changes that represent the re-branded concepts of other people, introduced in a manner that has largely dismantled their previous record of success and for which future successful outcomes are in considerable doubt. Simon Blackwell in an interview with the Guardian described the slogan as “hollow and oxymoronic”, but perhaps that is the way we ought to explain the changes from the Abbott continuity implemented by this, new leadership.

 

Filed Under: Politicians

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March 9, 2016 by James J. Morrison W.G. Dupree 1 Comment

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Filed Under: writing

Safe Schools

March 2, 2016 by James J. Morrison W.G. Dupree Leave a Comment

Dear John Howard,

I noted that on the eve of the Sydney Gay and Lesbian Mardi Gras parade and Labor’s renewed efforts on Gay marriage you have responded to something old and something new and I think introducing a little blue. The “new” would be opposition frontbencher Terri Butler’s attempt to reintroduce a cross-party same-sex marriage bill back into parliament, and the “old” would be the now nearly three-year-old “Safe Schools” program.  The “blue” is simply how others and I feel about it all.

John Howard during Sky News Interview on Safe Schools program and Marriage Equality
Howard told Sky News that he is “totally baffled” by the Safe Schools program

 

Baffled Johnny.

It would seem that you are being reported as either baffled or puzzled on the subject of the “Safe Schools” program being taken seriously.  What is puzzling to me is your “puzzlement”.  Mr Howard, you say you see a need for anti-bullying but then are puzzled by the “social agenda” that pursues a significant cause for bullying.  You went on to say,  “I’m just puzzled that it got there in the first place.”  It would appear you think it should have been nipped in the bud.  Is the fact that it has successfully served to reduce bullying of LGTBI people in schools somehow offensive? Urging for “better ways to do it” despite it having been a success over the last few years, but providing no suggestions or insight into how you might have produced better results, is just empty rhetoric. In the absence of any viable alternative, just what is wrong with such successful advocacy?

Following your concern that the Safe School’s opponents were being labelled as bigots or homophobes, it was reported:

“Howard said Australia is at risk of becoming too politically correct, and those religious conservatives are less likely to speak their minds due to a fear of being persecuted.”

Persecution of conservatives?

“Persecuted”?  “Religious conservatives” are being “persecuted”?  Pitchforks and burning torches at dusk, John?  Really?  I think the term you are struggling to identify is “criticised”, “disparaged” perhaps, “rebuked” even, but not “persecuted”.  Not “assaulted”, “picked on”, “belittled” or “attacked physically”, either.  That is what the Safe School program is trying to prevent.  Having conservatives play the victim is ironic, given it is that community that is doing the bullying.  Unlike the many stories these children and adults can and do testify to,  nobody is attempting to beat up your white conservative religious mates because you’ve expressed preferences for some one of the opposite sex or want to remain your current gender.  Nobody is taunting you or “sly hitting” you or attacking your children behind the school’s darker corners because you or your family are conservative heterosexuals.

Protecting the Status Quo

Let’s be clear; you are being criticised and critiqued, not persecuted or punished.   The Safe School’s site is about protecting people from being persecuted (in the proper use of the word) or punished for their non-conformance to mainstream sexual and gender preferences.  For you or Cory Bernardi to be reversing that and suggesting the far stronger majority of heterosexuals and conservatives are being persecuted or bullied by this site or its adherents is just being absurd.  Cory Bernardi even went as far as suggesting it was pushing a sexual agenda.   For political proponents opposed to the Safe School’s initiative, who spent $244M on a chaplain’s advocacy program, to accuse an $8M program ($2M/yr for four yrs) of advocating is perhaps “a little rich”.   Given the Safe School’s track record of saving lives, you’d think that is something worth being advocated.  It’s not about their sexual agenda; it’s about advocating for protection against your conservative sexual agenda and the particularly vicious way some of your supporters “protect” the status quo.

Disturbing Links?

The accusations by Cori Bernardi and George Christensen don’t stop there, as they were trying to say it is providing links to pornography and grooming of children. If that were even remotely the case, call in the Federal police to report a crime – which it is.  One woman in the comments of the aforementioned Buzzfeed article said of the Safe Schools Program, “its content and the links it provides are disturbing”.  The unanswered challenge, which I have yet to see addressed, was a reply that asked, “Cite your sources. What about it, exactly, is “inappropriate”?”.  Just where are this grooming and pornography, etc occurring on the website links?  No answer has been forthcoming, but that doesn’t stop the objections becoming consistently mired in unsubstantiated opinions that have become a substitution for facts.  Facts – that even if remotely true – would constitute a crime.  If you believe so, call the police!  Seriously!

You changed the Marriage Act without a Plebiscite!

I noted, Mr Howard, you went on to talk about marriage equality following disparaging the Safe Schools program. While admitting it ought to be the subject of a free vote in parliament, you expressed support for the promised plebiscite.  Given that in 2004 you had the Marriage Act changed to explicitly exclude same-sex marriage one might think for a moment you were softening your stance. Not so though! You did although make it very clear that people who make a stand against marriage equality should not be called homophobes or bigoted just because they hold a conservative view that marriage was (and I am paraphrasing here) the restrictive right of people who preferred the opposite sex and to the exclusion of all others options.  While couching it regarding the “traditional definition of marriage”, you did admit it is no longer a widely held view.  That would be because 72% of the population is known, in some circles, to be a majority. If the Liberal Party won the 2013 vote by 53.5% (of which only 45.55% were first preference votes of our voting population) in 2013 and Abbott pronounces his “mandate” loudly – as he did on numerous occasions – then imagine what he would think if he had 72% of the population on his side.  72% being that which polls show is a majority of “equality” believers, which you said, is a recent phenomenon.  I presume you are taking a very localised perspective, because so many western countries around the world have voted for marriage equality.

A global perspective

A map of progressive countries in the world
A map of progressive countries in the world

For example the current list is: The Netherlands (2000), Belgium (2003), Canada (2005), Spain (2005), South Africa (2006), Norway (2009), Sweden (2009), Argentina (2010), Iceland (2010), Portugal (2010), Denmark (2012), Brazil (2013), England, (2013), Wales (2013), France (2013), New Zealand (2013), Uruguay (2013), Luxembourg (2014), Scotland (2014), Finland: (signed 2015, effective 2017), Ireland: (2015), and just over a year ago your long time partner, the good ol’ US of A. Considering that only 5.8 million people voted for the coalition in 2013, and 7.1 million voted for someone else, the perspective that believes that a mandate exists, has to be one that ignores the concept of a national population’s view and only considers it in terms of electoral boundaries and preferences. The problem is that a plebiscite – as desired by coalition – does not see Australia regarding its electoral boundaries nor regarding preferences but as a “first past the post” vote by the population.  From that perspective, there is neither a mandate for conservative views on marriage equality nor any likely possibility of winning an argument via a plebiscite that holds the view that marriage and its legal protections and recognition of couples should be the exclusive domain of a subset of the community, no matter how large that subset is.  Even if the polls are out of kilter with the community by a few percent here or there, it would have to be wrong to a margin of error of more than 22%, for the conservative view to win.

Why a Plebiscite?

Since the plebiscite is not legally binding on any government and it is only being proposed as a consideration for after the next election, then the only reasons for raising it as a possibility appear to be:

  1. They hold to the belief that they will be able to change the minds of over 22% of the population in the midst of a history of being unable to get single digit percentage changes of views to keep them elected.
  2. It is a delaying tactic designed to head off, having to deal with it in this term of office and hoping some new bluff will present itself in the new term.
  3. Not intending to hold one, but are using the proposal to do so as a distraction from dealing with the issue on the pretence you are consulting all the stakeholders (to reference Morrison’s concerns).
  4. Although the idea of the plebiscite came up during Abbott’s term as PM, Turnbull may be favouring it now as it permits him the chance to abdicate responsibility for making a call on marriage equality himself – which he agreed not to – to acquire power, and blame the decision on approving of it entirely at the people’s feet.
  5. They intend to hold the plebiscite and then ignore it, as it has no legal impetus.
One side of the anti-gay pamphlet authorised by Hon. Chris Miles
One side of the anti-gay pamphlet authorised by Hon. Chris Miles

So how could your colleagues begin to hope to change over a fifth of the population’s mindset?  By communicating a clear argument with integrity or via misdirection and misinformation?  There is no more classic an example of the latter than the latest pamphlet that has hit the headlines, and which the Hon. Chris Miles plans to distribute.  A fascinating document full of, off point accusations and broad stroke claims of how it will disintegrate the social fabric of Australia.  It accused the same sex marriage agenda of increasing unemployment, STDs, family anxiety, depression, suicidality, single parenthood and drug abuse.  It said it would lead to “education” in schools on LGBTI issues (which is the Safe School’s agenda not the marriage equality agenda). Perhaps Chris misunderstands this.  The pamphlet takes a very narrow definition of “marriage”, the issues for which I have dealt with previously,  so I will not go into that in this letter.  I will though repeat something I have written before to put some perspective on all these outlandish claims.

Two People – not a tribe, animal, vegetable or mineral

“The impediment to the recognition of Gay marriage in Australia is five unique words in the Marriage Act. The words “two people” will replace “man and woman” and the words “husband and wife” so that the act then reads: “the union of a two people to the exclusion of all others, voluntarily entered into for life“. That’s it! No more.”  [From: http://auswakeup.info/sex/]

Other side of the anti-gay pamphlet authorised by Hon. Chris Miles
Another side of the anti-gay pamphlet authorised by Hon. Chris Miles

It is a legal recognition of a civil union between two people.  All the rest of the palaver is just that.  It’s a distraction and fabrication.  It doesn’t change the church or require them to do anything they are uncomfortable with as it is about legal unions, not church unions. I have dealt with the church’s issues in other publications so you can read that separately. I dare say very few LGTBI couples will even want to be married in a church (which is pretty much what heterosexual couples prefer nowadays).  As for the rest of Chris Miles’s pamphlet, I have to wonder how the author of this even came to these conclusions.

Economically positive!

In reality, it will probably increase employment frankly.  It will provide a boost to the wedding, retail and tourism industry.  Seriously, the Gay community is over the top when it comes to celebrations.  Just stop by the Gay Mardi Gras, and you’ll note that.  Money galore to be made in Gay marriage. It provides joy and family enrichment for the couple concerned.  It provides for children that may be later introduced, (if they don’t already exist) with two parents rather than a single one.  Healthy relationships reduce suicide, depression and drug use. It will increase love and equality.  Although, according to the pamphlet as mentioned earlier, apparently issues like love and equality are “veneers of superficiality”.  Really Chris?

Imagine if the LNP were actually interested in boosting the Economy with Gay Weddings?
Imagine if the LNP were interested in boosting the economy with Gay Weddings?

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unjustified Fears – chill out Johnny.

Look, Mr Howard, I get that you don’t like advocacy for LGBTI kids and adults and you don’t understand same sex attraction.  You and Jannette are very happy.  Good on you!  That’s your thing, and I’m sorry, but nobody is persecuting you over it.  Last I looked, this country still had some resemblance to democracy.  The majority of that democracy thinks it’s a fair thing that people should love whom they want to and that we should legally recognise that.  Why are you opposed to a fair go for everyone in this country?  The reasons any of you or your conservative colleagues have given, don’t stand up to scrutiny.   None of the countries that have recognised Marriage Equality have shown any of the issues any of which you seem so afraid.  It would be a simple thing to point to as an example if it was occurring anywhere, but none of your colleagues can because your fears are not being actualised anywhere.  All that is happening is LGBTI people are being married, and real persecution is being reduced.  Canada made their ruling over a decade ago and hasn’t reported any of the consequences raised by the pamphlet being touted by Chris Miles!

Any real evidence?

Given that you have so many countries to draw on for signs of societal breakdown, that doesn’t exist, and nothing other than misrepresentations as an argument, how can you legitimately hold the position you do?  Can you understand why some of us feel that the only reason left standing, is that of bigotry or homophobia?

Regards,

A white, university educated, multi-degreed, middle-class, religiously oriented, heterosexually married, child raising, baby boomer male who doesn’t agree with you despite my demographic.

Filed Under: Sexuality

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